Five Nextel Cup drivers still mathematically have a chance to win the Chase on Sunday at Homestead.

Here are the scenarios:

Jimmie Johnson wins if any of the following occur:

# Finish of 12th or better and leading no laps
# Finish of 13th or better and leading at least one lap
# Finish of 15th or better and leading the most laps

Matt Kenseth wins if all of the following occur:

# He wins the race and leads the most laps.
# Jimmie Johnson finishes 13th or worse without leading a lap.

Kevin Harvick wins if all of the following occur:

# He wins the race and leads the most laps.
# Jimmie Johnson finishes 22nd or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.
# Matt Kenseth finishes 4th or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.

Denny Hamlin wins if all of the following occur:

# He wins the race and leads the most laps.
# Jimmie Johnson finishes 22nd or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.
# Matt Kenseth finishes 4th or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.>

Dale Earnhardt, Jr. wins if all of the following occur:>

# He wins the race and leads the most laps.
# Jimmie Johnson finishes 30th or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.
# Matt Kenseth finishes 10th or worse and doesn’t lead a lap.
# Both Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin both finish fourth or worse and don’t lead a lap.

[Fox Sports]

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